Spring training is in full swing and that
means the 2007 fantasy baseball season is finally upon us. This is
perhaps the most exciting time of the year for many as hope still
springs eternal. This is the time to declare your keepers, extend
contracts, make pre-season trades, and most importantly plan for the
draft which could make or break the next 7 months of your life. Perhaps it sounds a little neurotic to judge the direction ofthe
direction of your life by the decisions you make in the silly endeavor
of fantasy baseball but the summer, baseball, and life in general is
just much more enjoyable when you fantasy teams are doing well- just
ask the GNUru’s fiancée! So do yourself (and your significant other) a
favor and do your homework this spring so you can just sit back and
enjoy the fruits of your labor over the next 7 months.
Disclaimer:
Fantasy baseball success may not be an accurate reflection of summer
enjoyment. Keep in mind the GNUru is a Cubs fan, prone to seasonal June
depression. Individual results may vary depending upon which baseball
team you root for.
While
the GNUru hesitates to outline a generic draft strategy to ensure
success this upcoming season, there is only ONE simple thing you need
to do to make the most of your draft. So before you set your sights on
drafting your infield the first 5 rounds, followed by 2 starting
pitchers, and waiting until round 12 for your closer, read the GNUru’s
golden rule of the fantasy baseball draft.
GNUru Golden Rule: Read, read, and read some more
The
most important thing any fantasy baseball owner can do is read. Read
every fantasy baseball cheat sheet, positional rankings, sleeper and
bust picks, mock drafts, and advice column you can find. In addition,
visit as many fantasy baseball forums
and message boards you can (Since you’re reading this, your already way
ahead of the game). What’s important here is not nailing down who is
going to have a better year Rocco Baldelli or Tori Hunter. The goal of
all this research is to determine when Rocco Baldelli and Hunter are
going to be drafted. Knowing this will put the power in your hands.
Remember, preparing for a fantasy baseball draft is more of an exercise
in psychology than in pure number crunching. Why draft someone like
Baldelli in the 8th round when you know Hunter (who is probably more likely to stay healthy and put up better numbers) can be had in the 12th round?
It
is human nature to want to discover, invent, and create. You want to be
the owner who heard of them first, is the expert talent evaluator, etc.
Sometimes this desire is to a fault. The GNUru calls this the Sexy Pick
Syndrome (SPS).” Every year the draft is full of players who are this
year’s crop of “sexy picks.” Some pan out, others are busts but the
vast majority of the “sexy picks” are simply mild disappointments. Last
years classic example is Mark Teixeira. Although Teixeira had nice
year, he had failed to live up to the expectations put upon him as a
“sexy” top 5 pick last year. In most leagues Travis Hafner could have
been had much later in the draft and put up even better numbers.
Another
advantage to reading and doing your research learning how other owners
in your league operate. To succeed in any competitive environment, you
must “know thy enemy”. That is, get to know what your opponents are
thinking and how they think. With a solid grasp of this, you can begin
to categorize every owner in every league you compete in.
The
easiest way to illustrate this is by using the typical public Yahoo or
CBS Sportsline league. These “Fantasy Baseball” for dummies leagues
plop all the fantasy information anyone can handle right in front of
their noses. How many times have you noticed an owner in your league
claiming a player off waivers within minutes of a CBS fantasy expert
started touting the player? By knowing which owners will parrot off the
backs of these articles and which owners are likely digging deeper will
give you a serious advantage.
Lastly,
by gathering as much knowledge you can leading up to the draft you will
be more prepared to handle the pressure when things don’t go exactly as
planned come draft day. Knowledge is the key to be able to adjust your
strategy on the fly when your fall back option at SS gets drafted way
earlier than you expected. So the GNUru’s take home message… read as
much as your can, and save the planning for your draft day meals and
beverages.
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